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Let X represent to probability of a terrorist getting aboard an aircraft with a laptop bomb.
Let A represent the probability of a laptop Li-ion battery experiencing a thermal runaway.
Let S represent the number of passengers with laptops on a flight.
Let H represent the number of flights affected my a laptop ban.
IF SA > X the n a burning laptop is more likely than a terrorist for a given flight.
If S laptops are inaccessible in the cargo bay the runaway event may be equivalent to the terrorist bomb.
The terrorist doesn't have to fly when the Security agency forces a greater risk on the industry.
And if HSA > X there another terrorist 'win'.